On December 21, 2010, China’s State Grid announced a $1 billion investment in Brazil, buying 7 Brazilian power transmission companies. What is State Grid, why is State Grid investing in Brazil, and why does the investment matter?

What is State Grid?

State Grid is China’s largest transmission and distribution company; according to State Grid, the company provides electricity to 88% of China’s “territory.” State Grid both builds and operates its networks. In 2010, State Grid ranked 8th on the 2010 Global Fortune 500, generating $184.5billion in revenues in the last fiscal year.

While State Grid may seem massive, its predecessor, State Power Corp. (SPC), a remnant of China’s thoroughly planned economy, was even bigger. As Sonal Patel of Power Magazine succinctly puts it, “By the end of 2002, China had dismantled its single, vertically integrated utility—the State Power Corp. (SPC), which by then had 46% of the country’s generating capacity and 90% of transmission capacity—into 11 separate generation, transmission, and service units.” One of those units is State Grid.

Why is State Grid investing in Brazil?

In one word: profitability. While State Grid is indeed large, it is not necessarily particularly profitable. According to the Fortune Global 500’s numbers, the company generated over $12 billion in profits in FY2008, $665 million in profits in FY2009…and $334 million in profits in FY2010. Those downward trending numbers may simply reflect State Grid’s increasing investments. However, profitability is still a key concern at State Grid: According to a State Grid executive quoted in Caixin, State Grid only considers forgeign projects with expected returns “two to three times” those expected in China. While future profits from the Brazilian venture are unclear, the Brazil investment is expected to generate $110 million in revenues each year.

State Grid’s investment in Brazil may seem curious or undisciplined, given simultaneous headlines detailing critical coal shortages across China causing power shortages. But State Grid internally emphasizes profitability, and learning from international projects may enhance the company’s ability to be profitable later on.

Why does the investment matter?

State Grid’s Brazil-ward foray is not its first venture into foreign assets. Previous investments or cooperation agreements exist with the Philippines, Russia, Mongolia, and Kazakhstan. The Brazilian venture is perhaps indicative of further international investment and outreach, ultimately rooted in boosting profits at home. Profits can be used to rectify domestic issues, such as lack of electricity in some rural areas.

These international ventures seem mutually advantageous, in theory: the host country gets State Grid to perform a service, presumably because of an attractive offering made by State Grid, and State Grid (ideally) makes profits and is advantaged through exposure to learnings that can be applied back home.

The US, however, seems unlikely to engage in such international power generation and transmission agreements — as makes sense, given nervousness about national security (see: cyberspies on the US electrical grid in 2009). This inability to engage at a deeper level leaves the US-China energy dialogue somewhat stalled—limited to the private sector cooperation, government initiated R&D consortia, joint standards development, and assorted quibbles (including those over rare earths). Perhaps some progress, though, is better than none at all.

State Grid’s move may indicate a more broad trend, Chinese public service providers moving overseas to garner profits. Expanding operations overseas has the dual benefit of potential immediate profits and a learning experience in different power systems.  What does it mean if State Grid continues to struggle with profitability? Only time will tell. But, if current investments don’t yield expected returns, look for State Grid to seek new opportunities to boost profits—either at home or abroad.  Either way, any time two of the worlds largest emerging economies make a deal of this scale pertaining to their basic electrical functions, it is worth keeping an eye on.

The Pew Center on Global Climate Change released a brief in April discussing economic and job growth opportunities in clean energy markets. According to the report, global investment in renewable energy more than doubled from 2004-2009. From 2008-2009, China was the only country — out of the U.S, EU, Brazil, and India — whose investment increased. China attracted more investment in clean energy technologies ($34.6 billion) than the United States ($18.6 billion) for the first time in 2009. This first movers advantage could have large implications for future competitiveness:

“History shows that it matters where industries are first established, and countries can use policy to foster domestic “lead markets” for particular industries, giving them the foothold that can lead to significant growth in global market share. In the United States, well-crafted climate and clean energy policy can give nascent clean energy industries such a foothold by creating domestic demand and spurring investment and innovation.”

With China and the EU leading the way in clean energy investment, the U.S has already fallen behind and is losing opportunities to get a “foothold” in industries such as wind energy.  As we previously reported, for two quarters running Ernst and Young’s quarterly “Renewable Energy country attractiveness indices” have listed China as the most attractive destination for clean energy investments over the United States.  As part of the indices, the U.S. ranked third behind the China and the U.K. in both offshore and onshore wind investment attractiveness. Recognizing the rapid expansion of the world wind energy market — “China Wind Power Outlook 2010” asserts that over 100 countries will have installed wind power by the end of 2009 — China has moved to the forefront of the industry and is looking to expand its global market share.  World total installed wind capacity has steadily increased since 2001 and China has lead the way with a 2009 growth rate of 113%, says the 2009 World Wind Energy Report.

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Noah Rare EarthChina caused a stir in late October by expanding an existing embargo on rare earth metals to include the U.S. and other western nations. Although an infrequently discussed issue when it comes to energy policy, China’s monopoly of the rare earth metal production provides them yet another advantage in the clean energy race. Rare earth metals are vital to the development of clean energy technologies and therefore the future of clean energy in the U.S. As a result, it is imperative that future domestic energy policies include provisions for more secure and reliable acquisition of these metals.

Rare earth metals are actually not particularly “rare”, and consist of 17 minerals, many of which are used in clean energy technologies. Neodymium, a highly magnetic substance, is found in direct drive wind turbines, and metals such as gallium and indium are vital for photovoltaic panels.

China dominates the rare earth market by producing roughly 95 percent of the global supply, a monopoly which could be leveraged to provide Chinese clean-tech companies with considerable advantages. However, global rare earth metal resources are not as sharply skewed in favor of China.  According to the U.S. Geological Survey, China leads the world with 36 percent of global resources, and the U.S. follows with 13 percent. This vast discrepancy between global reserves and production, due mainly to the high fiscal and environmental costs of mining, fueled increasing concern amongst domestic and foreign leaders during the brief embargo.

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Failing to Educate the Clean Energy Workforce

The growth of clean energy industries will not only occur on factory floors but in classrooms as well.  As the clean-tech moves towards becoming a trillion dollar industry, it is clear that new technologies and jobs will require newly trained workers.  Yet, the U.S. has failed to pass legislation to deal with the impending shortage of skilled workers for clean energy, most notably with the failure to pass RE-ENERGYSE. At the same time China is beginning an all out effort to create the world’s largest and best trained clean-tech workforce, reports CoCo Liu of ClimateWire in “Building a Skilled Clean Energy Work Force — a Tale of Two Countries.”

Traditionally a supplier of unskilled labor, the Chinese government is making a push to increase its number of PhDs in clean energy related fields.  A Ministry of Education directive in March has increased the number of clean energy programs in universities around the country. With the help of international agreements like the China-E.U. Institute for Clean and Renewable Energy (ICARE), the education efforts should be able to supply expert teachers and an eager crop of student.  While China must play catch up when it comes to a highly skilled professors, it will enjoy other advantageous,

“compared with Europe and the United States, China has a key advantage in aiming to deliver a generation of new professionals and workers who are literate in the demands of clean energy. ‘No other nation has so many engineering professionals [as China has], and so this provides a strong foundation for development, [says Kelly Gallagher, an associate professor at Tufts University's Fletcher School.]‘”

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Discounted Chinese Energy Trades & U.S. Energy Policy

While US-China “clean energy race” rhetoric glosses over important distinctions—the rapid urbanization spurring China’s clean energy demand, for example, also contributes to growing rates of chronic disease—the “race” metaphor sticks for a reason.  Yet, while China has continued to build on a commanding lead, Chinese companies on the U.S. stock market are trading at discount prices.

The U.S. has made relatively miniscule investments in clean energy. While China has already heavily invested in its rail systems, the U.S. has a notoriously unprofitable train system. China is leading the world in developing nuclear capacity, aiming for 5% of capacity from nuclear by 2020; the U.S. has only one nuclear power plant under construction.

And, though enforcement and regulatory power remain questionable, China has the most progressive energy policy in the world, and is on track to achieve 20% of its energy mix from renewables by 2020.

But if China is making such great strides in industrial and domestic energy capacity, why are a number of Chinese energy companies listed on US stock exchanges trading at seemingly discounted prices?

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Why China Invests in Clean Energy

China’s impressive growth in clean energy industries has been backed by strong policies put in place by its leadership to support low carbon energy. Meanwhile, US progress on that front has been in paralysis. Why has the Chinese government been more willing to regulate, tax, subsidize, set targets—in other words, all the policies vital to global leadership in energy—than our government? What compels policymakers to legislate effective and sound energy policies? Looking across the Pacific might provide some insights.

Of course, China and the US have fundamentally different systems of government: each country’s leaders are responsive towards different constituencies; the dynamics between the central and local governments are drastically different; setting aggressive targets and goals is also not the same as actual implementation and enforcement. The inherent structural differences in political systems and why they matter for each country’s energy policy will be the subject of another post. The central question now, though, is what are the practical reasons the Chinese leadership is more willing to act and why the US leadership is falling behind.

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China Builds Cleantech Lead in 4th Quarter

Screen shot 2010-12-01 at 5.09.58 PMJust days after Secretary Chu’s declaration that America is facing a “Sputnik moment”, more proof continues to surface of China’s widening lead in the clean energy race.  Ernst and Young’s quarterly “country attractiveness” index has confirmed that not only is China still the most attractive destination for clean tech investment, as we previously reported it became for the first time last quarter, its lead is growing.

The warnings of Secretary Chu and the recommendations of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) take on new urgency in light of the report’s findings,”A new world is emerging in the clean energy sector with China now the clear leader in the global renewables market”.  At the same time the LA Times is reporting that clean tech investment in the U.S. fell 45% in the fourth quarter.

It is increasingly becoming clear that what is at stake is jobs.  Ernst and Young recognize an increasing disparity in the job creation in those countries that are “in the fast lane” and those that are “hesitant”. The focus in China and other emerging countries on their clean energy industries is already bearing fruit, “One striking feature of the post-credit-crunch world is the difference between the pedestrian pace of recovery in the West and the rapid turnaround in the new BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China)”.

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GE Plans $2 Billion Investment in China

Bloomberg reports that GE is planning a $2 billion investment in high-technology industry in China, with significant focus on clean-tech:

General Electric Co. plans to invest more than $2 billion in China in technology and financial service ventures and research, adding 1,000 jobs in a country Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Immelt is targeting for growth.

GE intends to invest more than $1.5 billion in joint ventures with Chinese state-owned companies in “key high- technology sectors,” it said in a statement today…

The company will establish six new innovation centers and named Chengdu, Shenyang and Xi’an as potential candidate locations. GE’s statement didn’t provide details of the financial and technology ventures it’s planning.“The growth in the next decade or decades that’s going to take place will be quite robust in places like China and India,” Immelt said today in Beijing.

GE also announced four joint ventures in energy and transport. It will start a venture with Wuhan NARI Co., owned by China’s State Grid, to build electric transmission monitoring and diagnostic equipment.

Wall Street Journal further reports:

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While hardly shocking, today’s release of the International Energy Agency report, “World Energy Outlook 2010,” sheds further light on the urgency of the moment.  As expected, the world is not on track to stop average temperatures from rising more than 2°C, a central goal of the Copenhagen Accord.

Non-OECD nations will be responsible for 93% of increased energy consumption between 2008 and 2035.  China will remain the focal point of the international energy landscape; in the report’s models China “contributes 36% to the projected growth in global energy use, its demand rising by 75% between 2008 and 2035.” Without cheap alternatives, these nations will largely turn to fossil fuels.  In an international context, it is imperative that OECD nations work not just to limit their own CO2 emissions, but to create cost competitive clean energy technologies which can help fulfill non-OECD nations’ rising demands.

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China’s ambitious efforts to dominate in clean energy sectors have been widely documented of late, but a new Worldwatch Institute report, “China’s Growth in Clean Energy Matches Ambition,” concludes that these trends have been underestimated if anything.  Since “Rising Tigers, Sleeping Giant” benchmarked China’s clean energy policies and successes in 2009, the disparity between their ambitious policies and America’s lackluster efforts has actually increased:

‘”Governments and industries around the world are now struggling to keep pace with China,’ said Worldwatch President Christopher Flavin. ‘China is succeeding precisely where the United States is failing – in implementing the ambitious policies and making the sustained investment that is needed to spur growth in clean energy. If China keeps on its current pace, it will be the undisputed global leader in clean energy within the next two years.’”

A few of the report’s most important findings are below:

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