State of U.S. Solar PV Industry

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) recently released its “Solar Photovoltaic Cell/Module Manufacturing Activities 2009” report, and the results demonstrate the rapidly evolving landscape of the U.S. solar PV manufacturing industry. In 2009, the industry reached a record high 1.3 peak gigawatts of shipments, the sixth-consecutive year of growth and a 30% increase from 2008. According to EIA, an influx of stimulus spending and a decrease in manufacturing costs largely contributed to this increase.

Domestic shipments increased 15% over the course of 2009 to 601,133 peak kilowatts, 47% of which went to commercial electricity generation. Installers, at 36% of the domestic market share, were the largest customer type, followed by wholesale distributors at 23%. The solar photovoltaic module/cell market made shipments to all 50 states, with California and New Jersey combining for 55% of all domestic shipments.

At 57%, imports accounted for more than half of total shipments for the third time in four years. The importation of 743,414 peak kilowatts, 95% of which were crystalline silicon cells and modules, represented a 27% increase from 2008. China (31.75%), Philippines (28.68%), and Mexico (17.83%) were the top importers. Japan had the furthest decline in U.S. imports, falling from 24.85% of total imports in 2008 to 11.32% in 2009.

Although import shipments constituted greater than half of total shipments in 2009, export numbers actually increased 47% from 2008. Buoyed by crystalline silicon cells and modules, exports surpassed domestic shipments for the first time since 2004. Germany dominated the U.S. solar industry export market in 2009 with 45.37% of total exports, followed by Italy (15.88%) and France (6.94%).

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A Lesson from the History of Clean Energy Research

The focus on innovation in Obama’s State of the Union marks a new high point for clean energy R&D advocacy. In the coming months, politicians and policy makers will likely align around proposals to encourage everything from basic research to putting solar panels on our roofs and hybrids in our garages. It is easy, in such an environment, to forget the barren stretch of time between the oil crisis induced renewable energy craze of the 1970s and the present day. During this time, funding dried up, programs were cut, and renewable energy research and deployment was forced to go abroad or wither in an apathetic United States.

Politicians, policymakers and enthusiasts talk about ways that new programs will help America race past its competitors as it did in the space race, but there is not enough attention on how the old programs died and what was the full impact of their disappearance. There are important lessons to learn, the biggest of which is that inconsistency in policy can be crippling to research. While proponents of clean and renewable technologies should welcome the renewed interest and funding, it is important that they learn from the past and focus on creating a support system that is not only robust but also provides some assurances of long-term commitments.

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Community solar is a concept that has lots of cheerleaders. And what’s not to love? At it’s best, this market-based deployment strategy can expand access to clean energy, create jobs, spur local investment, and help drive down the cost of solar panels.

But while the concept of community solar has had strong support from policymakers and clean energy advocates for several years, actual community solar projects have been slow to materialize. Now, two statewide community solar programs and a host of other new state and local policies to encourage community solar may be catalyzing a wave of new projects. Will the reality of community solar live up to the ideal?

Community Solar Spreads the Benefits and Rewards of Clean Energy Investment

Community energy carries all the environmental, economic, and national security benefits of clean energy in any form, but with a distinct advantage. A review of research by Northwest SEED suggests that community energy projects deliver 2-5 times the economic benefits of projects built by out-of-state investors. And, in places that import electricity from outside the area, community energy can also keep utility dollars in the community, with multiplier benefits for the local economy. Community energy provides distributed generation, with associated benefits such as increased system reliability and resilience, lower peak power requirements, minimal transmission requirements and reduced line losses.

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Jerry BrownWith gridlock likely in the 112th Congress and the Administration’s mandate accordingly tempered, those interested in America’s energy policy and 21st century competitiveness should look West.  As newly-elected California Governor Jerry Brown’s ambitious state budget undergoes the scrutiny of multiple media cycles, other elements of the senior statesman’s agenda may easily go unnoticed – including what impact Governor Brown part deux may have in renewing an American innovation economy.

California’s GDP weighs in as the eighth largest in the world, and the state accounted for 60% of all North American venture capital investment in the clean tech sector in 2009.  After making headlines with its seminal 2006 climate legislation (AB 32), adopting the first Low Carbon Fuel Standard, and establishing the second most aggressive state Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), what’s next for California?

In Mr. Browns campaign literature, one of the objectives that dominates his energy and environmental platform is a rapid and expanded deployment of localized electricity generation.  To be precise, he calls on California to produce 20,000 new megawatts (MW) of renewable electricity by 2020, of which 12,000 megawatts would consist of “onsite or small energy systems located close to where energy is consumed that can be constructed quickly (without new transmission lines) and typically without any environmental impact.”  To fulfill this goal, he envisions solar systems up to 2 megawatts being installed on the roofs of parking lot structures, schools, warehouses, industrial parks, and other attractive sites while larger solar projects up to 20 megawatts in size would be accommodated on large public and private lands.  Candidate Brown even proposed the state’s first “Solar Highway” by placing PV panels alongside swaths of state roads.

To facilitate this deployment, he has singled out a new feed-in tariff mechanism and ensured that having the legislature or the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) authorize such renewable power payments would be an administration priority. All-too-keenly acquainted with the Governor Moonbeammoniker that has shadowed him throughout his political career, Mr. Brown went to great lengths during the campaign to emphasize that any feed-in-tariff system will not be a quixotic quest at the expense of consumers and has stated explicitly that “holding down rates must be part of the design.”  Brown’s clearly-articulated goals can also be seen against the backdrop the UK’s young feed-in tariff and its early impacts on energy markets across the pond.

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For proponents of clean energy technology, the holy grail is to reach price parity with conventional power sources such as coal. For photovoltaics, this tipping point is generally regarded as a dollar per watt ($1/Wp), a measure that indicates the generation capacity of a cell in peak sunlight.  At this point the stage will be set for a massive explosion in the number of solar panels being installed and sold – a situation eagerly anticipated by the PV industry and environmentalists alike.

While most agree that cost competitive solar panels would be a good development, there is a great deal of disagreement on how to reach this point. In this debate, two major schools of though have emerged. The first school recognizes that market externalities such as the cost of pollution must be internalized in order to allow the free market to allocate enough resources to renewable energy. Proponents of this view back programs such as carbon taxes and cap and trade.

The second school of thought acknowledges that market signals need to be corrected, but believes that the free market is not able to support the massive upfront costs required to advance renewable energy technology. This group maintains that the market is excellent for creating incremental advances and lowering costs for existing products, but it does not support the decades of investment required to develop a new technology before profit can be generated. In these cases, it is necessary for government entities to ensure that necessary advances occur despite the lack of a market.

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A new white paper out today from Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

The report examines the drivers of growth in clean technology in both countries; compares the competitiveness of wind and solar manufacturers; and reveals how the two countries are actually “joined at the hip” in the search for a cleaner energy future. It also highlights the role of innovation (alive and well in the US — for example, publicly-traded solar PV companies here are putting more funding into R&D than their Chinese counterparts are).

However, politics can introduce a wrinkle into this relationship; some are calling for protectionist trade measures, which the white paper cautions against. One conclusion: “A focus solely on trade-based winners and losers in the US-China clean energy relationship neglects the gains from both lower cost and higher quality clean energy technology. Both countries, and indeed all countries, will benefit as the US and China drive the cost of renewable energy below that of conventional energy.”

Instead, the study “finds there to be little zero-sum competition between the two nations and, in fact, the two countries will need to cooperate in many ways in order to meet their respective carbon reduction goals. (However, this is no excuse for America to delay. The report is highlighting the fact that US companies have a major role to play in the development of clean energy solutions — if they want. So let’s get moving!)

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